Welcome to the Homepage of Kerstin Bernoth

Education Work Experience Publications Photos Impressum
Contact Address
DIW Berlin
Macroeconomic Analysis and Forecasting
Mohrenstrasse 58
10117 Berlin
Germany
Tel.: +49 30 89789 333
E-Mail: kbernoth@diw.de
   
Work Experience  
02/2009 – today Economist, Department for Macro Analysis and Forecasting, Deutsches Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung (German Institute of Economic Research), Berlin.
11/2004 – 12/2008 Economist, Economic Policy and Research Division, De Nederlandsche Bank (Dutch Central Bank), Amsterdam.
03/2001 – 10/2004 Research Fellow, Center for European Integration Studies (ZEI), Bonn.
05/2002 – 07/2002 Intern, Fiscal Policy Division, European Central Bank (ECB), Frankfurt.
09/1996 – 10/1996 Intern, Project on the European Monetary Union, Department for Research and Consulting, Konrad-Adenauer Foundation, St. Augustin.
   
Education  
2004 Ph.D. in Economics, Center for European Integration Studies (ZEI), University of Bonn.
Principal Advisor: Prof. Dr. Jürgen von Hagen.
2000 Diploma (MSc) in Economics, University of Bonn.
1998-1999 Exchange student at the Helsinki School of Economics and Business Administration.
   
Publications  
Publications in Refereed Journals  
o "Fool the markets? Sovereign Risk Premia, Fiscal Transparency and Creative Accounting" (with Guntram Wolff), Scottish Journal of Political Economy, 2008, Volume 55(4).
o "Reageren consumenten anders op vermogensverliezen dan op winsten?" (with Robert-Paul Berben and Mauro Mastrogiacomo), Tijdschrift voor Politieke Ekonomie, 2006, Volume 27.
o "Euribor Futures Market: Efficiency and the Impact of ECB Policy Announcements” (with Jürgen von Hagen), International Finance, 2004, Volume 7.
   
Working Papers  
o "Forecasting the Fragility of the Banking and Insurance Sector" (with Andreas Pick), DNB Working Paper No. 202, February 2009.
o "Did fiscal policy makers know what they were doing? Reassessing fiscal policy with real time data" (with Andrew Hughes Hallett and John Lewis), CEPR Working Paper No. 6758, March 2008; DNB Working Paper No. 169, April 2008.
o "The Forward Premium Puzzle only Emerges Gradually" (with Jürgen von Hagen, Casper G. de Vries), DNB Working Paper No. 125, January 2007.
o "Households' Response to Wealth Changes: Do Gains or Losses make a Difference?" (with Robert-Paul Berben, Mauro Mastrogiacomo), DNB Working Paper No. 90, February 2006.
o “Sovereign Risk Premia in the European Government Bond Market” (with Jürgen von Hagen, Ludger Schuknecht), ECB Working Paper No. 369, June 2004.
   
Presentations  
Conference Presentations  
07/2009           Western Economic Association, Vancouver.
05/2009           40th Konstanz Seminar, Insel Reichenau.
10/2008           11th DNB Annual Conference on "Financial Stability and Financial Crisis", Amsterdam.
08/2008           23th European Economic Association, Milan.
06/2008           Western Economic Association, Honolulu.
05/2008            Austrian Economic Association, Vienna.
12/2007            DIW Macroeconometric Workshop, Berlin.
10/2007            9th Infer Annual Conference, Loughborough.
06/2007            Canadian Economic Association, Halifax.
03/2007            DNB Workshop on “Insurance Research” , Amsterdam.
12/2006           50th European Conference of the Econom(etr)ics Community, Rotterdam.
08/2006            61th European Meeting of the Economic Society (ESEM), Vienna.
05/2006            10th International Conference: “Macroeconomic Theory and Policy”, Univ. of Crete.
04/2006            CESifo Area Conference on Public Sector Economics, Munich.
08/2005            20th Congress of the European Economic Association, Univ. of Amsterdam.
05/2005            9th International Conference: “Macroeconomic Theory and Policy”, Univ. of Crete.
05/2004            International Bond and Debt Market Integration, Trinity College, Univ. of Dublin.
09/2003            Summer School on "EMU: Current State and Future Prospects", Univ. of Crete.
06/2003            Workshop on “Monetary Policy and Money Markets”, New York Fed.
03/2003            CEPR Conference on “Empirical Macro Models of the Euro Economy”, Bonn.
   
Invited Presentations  
06/2008             European Central Bank, Fiscal Policy Division, Frankfurt.
03/2008             Tinbergen Institute, Amsterdam.
03/2008             University of Amsterdam, Lunch seminar, Amsterdam.
03/2007             ABN Amro Headquarter, Workshop on “Is risk mispriced in financial markets?”, Amsterdam.
11/2006             European commission, Lunch seminar at DG ECFIN, Brussels.
02/2006             University of Münster, Research Seminar.
10/2005             CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis, The Hague.
07/2004             De Nederlandsche Bank, Amsterdam.
04/2004             Deutsche Bundesbank, Economics Department, Frankfurt.
12/2003             Deutsche Bundesbank, Money, Credit and Capital Markets Division, Frankfurt.
12/2002             European Central Bank, Fiscal Policy Division, Frankfurt.